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Showing posts with label DSO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DSO. Show all posts

03 December 2012

ENGlobal Corporation - 3Q Press Release and 10Q Analyses



Rev. 1.1

It was a record breaking quarterly report so let’s take a look.

Press Release

“ENGlobal reported a net loss of $22.3 million, or $0.83 per diluted share, for the quarter ended September 29, 2012…” Well folks, one thing we have learned about ENGlobal, they always seem to deliver more than you expect.

I am astounded. Are you guys kidding me? When you go cleaning up the books and get a number that bad it is sure sign the BOD, CEO and many others were not doing their jobs.

The next paragraph was a standard we have heard for x number of quarters (I have lost count for 3+ years). “Commenting on the results, William A. Coskey, P.E., ENGlobal's Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "To a large extent, the third quarter is comprised of heritage financial items that have impacted our Company and mask some recent improving financial trends in our business.  For example, we continue to see gradual improvements across several of our working capital-related metrics. I am very pleased with current business activity in our operations, and also the progress we have made on several fronts since August 1st of this year."

Well you didn’t see gradual improvements in DOS as it appeared to increase to around 85 days for 3Q.  Wonder why ENG stopped reporting that metric?

Some facts here:
  • Mr. Pagano resigned at the beginning of August. 
  • He was CEO for one month of the third quarter. 

Examine "Heritage financial items". Is Mr. Coskey throwing Mr. Pagano under the bus or patting himself on the back, or maybe both? For once, I would like to see a CEO or Chairman of the Board take responsibility for results and not try to 'Pass the Buck'. Regardless, who was the Chairman of the Board during the creation of these “heritage financial items”? I am surprised it wasn't Bush's fault.

Too bad the miniscule positives don’t outweigh continuing operations' negatives, much less the every quarter “non-recurring special event”. These improvements are really just polishing the silverware on the Titanic. To explain it another way. Lets say you have stalled your aircraft and are in an unrecoverable spin with a downward velocity of 10,000 ft per minute. You eject and your upward velocity for a short period is 2,000 ft per minute. Guess what? You are still losing altitude and if you don't have enough altitude above ground level you are going to impact. 

Results were so bad ENGlobal is not even going to hold a conference call. If ever they needed a conference call it is now!  If Mr. Coskey truly believes this rhetoric he should get on the line and tell the world about all their accomplishments and provide some supportive details for the, I quote, “progress on our strategic priorities, including collaborating with our management consultant to improve financial performance, reorganizing our management team, pursuing opportunities to improve margins and reduce expenses, and completing the divestiture of our Land and Right-of-Way division of the Field Solutions segment”.  Details would be a nice change from the ongoing ‘trust us’ situation because we have seen what that got us for those x number of quarters.


10Q Analysis

From the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited):

Goodwill - $2,805,000

How does this remain?  Any Goodwill has been lost to the clients, employees, and shareholders.  They did say it was an interim assessment so there is more to come!

Long-term trade and notes receivable, net of current portion and allowances - $899,000

This looks like another SLE write-down if not collected in the forth quarter.

Current portion of debt - $29,406,000 

Almost doubled since the end of the year. The right-away sale should help reduce this amount by approx. $4.5 mil as retained AR is collected because there was no immediate cash in the deal!

Total Stockholders' Equity - $26,352,000

Lost $32.1 mil in equity in 9 months.  Book value @ approx. $0.98 per share; Tangible Net Worth (book value less Goodwill and Other Intangibles) @ $0.80 per share)


From Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited):

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities for the first nine months - ($8,278,000)

Still negative cash flow for the year but positive for the 3rd quarter by $910k… a good sign!


Note 2 - Liquidity

"Although we have sold assets and reduced personnel in an attempt to improve our liquidity position, we cannot assure you that we will be successful in obtaining the cure or waiver of the defaults under the respective credit facilities. If we fail to obtain the cure or waiver of the defaults under the facilities after any forbearance period, the lenders may exercise any and all rights and remedies available to them under their respective agreements, including demanding immediate repayment of all amounts then outstanding or initiating foreclosure or insolvency proceedings. In such event and if we are unable to obtain alternative financing, our business will be materially and adversely affected, and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease our operations. In addition, based on current conditions, it is probable that our independent registered public accounting firm will include an explanatory paragraph with respect to our ability to continue as a going concern in its report on our financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2012."


Notes to Unaudited Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

"The Company has been unable to sell the Electrical Services group as planned and has decided to dispose of substantially all of the group’s remaining assets. During the third quarter of 2012, the Company completed the disposal of the group’s remaining assets concurrent with the completion of the last remaining lump sum project. During the third quarter, the Company incurred approximately $0.5 million of costs to complete the remaining lump sum project. Going forward, the Company will have no continuing involvement with these operations after the completion of the remaining lump sum project."

I wonder when this discontinued project will be completed? This was going to be taken care of several quarters ago.

"On September 10, 2012, the Company entered into a definitive agreement to sell its Field Solutions segment...The transaction was valued at approximately $7.5 million, consisting of approximately $4.5 million in working capital at closing to the Company [NO CASH!] and a $3 million promissory note payable to the Company over four years."

"The results of the discontinued operations are shown on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations as "Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes". During the third quarter, the Company incurred or accrued approximately $3.6 million [shows $3.717 mil in the actual table] of additional costs (which includes a loss on the sale of the Land and Right-of-Way division of approximately $1.1 million) related to the sale of these divisions."

Sounds like the Electrical Group took another $2.5 mil hit on the project.


Note 7 - Line of Credit and Debt

"Pursuant to generally accepted accounting principles, the combination of both a subjective acceleration clause and a lock-box arrangement required by the lender results in borrowings outstanding under the PNC Credit Facility being classified as short-term obligations despite the three-year term of the agreement."

Nothing like long-term being classified as short-term. Unfortunately by the same token ENGlobal finally now has long-term losses.


Notes to Unaudited Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements:

"On October 30, 2012, the Forbearance Period was extended to November 15, 2012.  On November 14, 2012, the Forbearance Period was extended to November 30, 2012 (or earlier should any forbearance default occur)."

Looks like PNC is only giving ENG relief in 2-week increments. Wonder if ENG has received another 2-week extension last Friday?

"As of the result of covenant violations, including those described above, the Company is currently in default under the terms of the PNC Credit Facility. As of the date of this filing, the Agent has not taken any action with respect to the Company's defaults and the Company was actively discussing with the Agent the terms under which such defaults may be cured or waived. Although the Company is in active discussions with the Agent, if the Company is not successful in obtaining the cure or waiver of such defaults, at the end of the Forbearance Period, the Agent may exercise any and all rights and remedies available to it, including demanding immediate repayment of all amounts then outstanding or initiating foreclosure or insolvency proceedings. In such event and if we are unable to obtain alternative financing, our business will be materially and adversely affected, and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease our operations."

Now we get the same for the Ex-Im Bank Facility.

"As of the result of covenant violations, including those described above, the Company is currently in default under the terms of the Ex-Im Bank Facility.  As of the date of this filing, Wells Fargo had not taken any action with respect to the Company's defaults and the Company was actively discussing with Wells Fargo the terms under which such defaults may be cured or waived.  Although the Company is in active discussions with Wells Fargo, if the Company is not successful in obtaining the cure or waiver of such defaults, Wells Fargo may exercise any and all rights and remedies available to it, up to and including terminating the Ex-Im Bank Facility. In such event and if we are unable to obtain an alternative facility, our business will be materially and adversely affected, and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease our operations."


Notes to Unaudited Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, Total Assets by Segment, As of September 29, 2012:

If you subtract the discontinued operations (see the asterisk note) in the table from the Total Assets ($86,493,000) it looks like continuing operations has only $72,680,00 in assets!

Now stroll down to Net Loss ($22,330,000):

If you add back Goodwill at $14.6 mil and Discontinued Ops at $3.7 mil continuing Ops still lost $4.0 million! Consider E&C making 6.5% and Automation making 16.4% in margin with overall rate at 5.7%.  With a $6.0 million overhead they need to double revenue to just break even OR they need to double margins.


Note 12 – Subsequent Events

Notice of Delisting:

"The Company intends to consider available options to resolve the noncompliance with the minimum bid price requirement. No determination regarding the Company’s response has been made at this time. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement or will otherwise be in compliance with other NASDAQ listing criteria."

Closing of Sale of the Land and Right of Way Division of the Field Solutions Segment:

"Pursuant to the final agreement, the Company will retain approximately $4.5 million of this division's working capital at the time of closing [again, that means no cash received], in addition to receiving a $3.0 million promissory note payable over four years."

"As previously reported, the original agreement provided for the sale of substantially all of the assets of both divisions of its Field Solutions segment, the Land and Right-of-Way, and Inspection. However, the Inspection division was not sold as part of the final transaction, and ENGlobal will retain the Tulsa-based business for the foreseeable future, while actively pursuing its sale and reporting its financial position and results of operations as discontinued operations. The Company expects no changes to the personnel of its Inspection operation as a result of this transaction."

Maybe another mandate from division management and employees to ‘sell or we leave’ will prompt accelerate selling activity.


Financial Overview of Continuing Operations:

"Improving our margins on our existing work is an important area of focus.  During the recent period of industry-wide decline in demand for the types of services we provide, we reduced our rates significantly, as was required to obtain and retain business. Although the level of demand has increased, pricing in certain geographical markets is still extremely competitive and we have not yet been able to increase our margins to prior levels. We have recently engaged a management consultant to assist us in improving our profit margins."

Does that mean the remaining management cannot come up with ideas to improve margins?  Are they "energized" but just do not know what to do?


Results of Continuing Operations– Three Months ended September 29, 2012 versus September 30, 2011:

Overall comments - As noted in the summary Revenue down 5% and Gross Profit down 52%.  Concerned should be that the core business is no longer able to make margins to cover SG&A.  The drop in revenue probably comes out of in-office projects, which is making margins (as a percent of revenue) decline, as in-plant revenue becomes a bigger piece of the pie. Bad market mix for E&C. Risk of losing Caspian due to ENG’s cash issues and paying subs. A loss or delay of the next phase of the work could materially impact revenue and margins coming out of Automation. SG&A is saddled with office rents that are not easily re-negotiated and will make it difficult to downsize quickly.

Gross Profit (Loss):

"Gross profit for the three months ended September 29, 2012, as compared to the comparable 2011 period, decreased by approximately $3.5 million, or 5.8%.  As a percentage of revenue, gross profit decreased from 11.2% to 5.7% [massive] for the three months ended September 29, 2012, as compared to the same period in 2011"

"Our gross profit and gross profit margin decreased primarily due to increased direct and variable costs [wonder what their utilization rate is running, or how billable man-hours are trending?] in our E&C Segment, resulting in lower profit margins.  We continue to be affected by intense competition and pricing pressures."

This seems to be a rather lame excuse when you look at apparent growth of competition in similar markets.


Liquidity and Capital Resources

Overview:

"ENGlobal does not intend to provide updates or make any further comment regarding its exploration and evaluation of strategic alternatives unless and until the Board of Directors has approved a definitive course of action."

Based on the Board’s reactions to what appear to be critical items this could take a while for them to approve anything. This does not really surprise you, does it?

Cash Flows from Operating Activities:

"The primary changes in working capital during the nine months ended September 29, 2012 included increased Costs in Excess of Billings [not getting billings out on time] and Decreased Billings in Excess of Costs [not getting favorable contract terms to allow for positive cash flows on lump sum projects] on uncompleted contracts of $1.3 million on fixed price projects where billing milestones have not been met, partially offset by an increase in accounts receivable of $2.8 million."

Again, bad terms, or poor order-to-cash processes.


PNC Credit Facility:

"Forbearance Period was subsequently extended to November 15, 2012 and again to November 30, 2012 (or earlier should any forbearance default occur) at a cost of $17,500 for each extension."

That could get expensive at $35k per month.


Conclusions and Opinion

Glancing at the latest financials posted (November 24th) and the revenue trends certainly are an eye opener!  Revenue trends over the last 4 quarters go from approx. $150mm as December 2011, $75mm in Q1, $77mm in Q2, and then $23mm in Q3 although I suspect the December 2011 numbers may not be correct*.  The Q3 results give ENG a current continuing revenue run-rate of less than $95mm which is about where it started in 2001.  Would be interesting to look back at what level of SG&A ENG had at that time.

*(According to SEC filings ENG 2011 annual revenue was approx $313mm and the 2011 3Q revenue was approx $222mm, or a net revenue for the 4th quarter of approx $91mm.)

Back to the press release and 10Q - OK folks, it is a disaster. No profit is going to be made. So what is going to happen?

Let's look at the recent history. ENG's losses were increasing. It is obvious PNC didn't trust management anymore. A consultant was forced upon ENG through the Credit Facility by PNC to manage ENGlobal.

Then, parts of the company are/were being sold and this continues. It is a liquidation process in my honest opinion.

Now another firm comes in (Simmons) assigned to help determine the future of ENG, however, ENG is not indicating any particular avenue. Cutting through the BS, I believe they are trying to sell the company. Moreover, we are getting close to that time. Why? One, for tax reasons - before the end of the year. Two, it sure looks like they threw in everything that would be a loss into this quarter to take all problems off the balance sheet. This would clean up those books for a potential sale. Three, PNC would never extend more time to ENGlobal with their risks increasing from further company losses unless a deal is imminent.

If you own stock I think you will get something for it, either in stock trade or cash. This is better than nothing. If you have a job there you may continue to have one, adjustments will be made. Who will buy ENG? First, let me say the deeper the buyer’s pockets are the better off you will be. In addressing who would be a buyer - who wants to create or increase their presence in the Golden Triangle, someone like CDI, Jacobs or CDI.

Good luck to everyone.




21 August 2012

ENGlobal Corporation 2Q 2012 Results and 10Q Analysis

It is hard to not become overwhelmed by the staggering $0.37/share loss ENGlobal has reported for 2Q 2012. I am sure many of you are wondering as I do; will there be a 3Q 2012? Let’s start with answering some of questions posed in the earlier post covering 2Q possibilities and then move through the 10Q information:


"What If" results:

Yes, DSO increased! Depending on how you calculate it was 78 to 82 days. At 65 days they could have pulled $11.1 to $14.5 million in cash off the Balance Sheet.

Yes, vendors and subcontractors continue to not get paid as accounts payable increased $2.6 million over 1Q.

Yes, billable hours decreased 4% from 1Q and 14% from the same period in 2011. It seems illogical that staffing levels hold and hours decline.

No, manpower utilization did not increase. We did not get a figure for 1Q of 2012 so we cannot compare Q over Q but compared to 2Q 2011 the current quarter’s utilization decreased 3%

Q over Q for 2012

E&C revenue was down from $45.6 mil to $44.8 mil and gross profit down from 9.6% to 6.4%. Issues seem to be in both growth and performance. Quality issues maybe under this iceberg!
Automation revenue was up from $13.6 mil to $14.3 mil and gross profit even at 10.2%. This seems to be the stable segment anchored by the Caspian project.
Field Services revenue was up from $16.3 mil to $17.8 mil and gross profit down from 10.8% to 7.3%. I think we questioned the margins from FS last quarter and thought they were higher than normal.
Overall revenue was up from $75.4 mil to $76.9 mil but gross profit down from 9.9% to 7.3%

What’s wrong with this “Outlook”?

“Although we are in active discussions with PNC Bank and Wells Fargo, we cannot assure you that we will be successful in obtaining the cure or waiver of the defaults under their respective facilities. If we fail to obtain the cure or waiver of the defaults under the facilities with PNC Bank and Wells Fargo, PNC Bank and Wells Fargo may exercise any and all rights and remedies available to them under their respective agreements, including demanding immediate repayment of all amounts then outstanding or initiating foreclosure or insolvency proceedings. In such event and if we are unable to obtain alternative financing, our business will be materially and adversely affected, and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease operations.”

In addition to the other information set forth in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, you should carefully consider the factors discussed in Part I, “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 , which outlines factors that could materially affect our business, financial condition or future results, and the additional risk factors below. The risks described, in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and below, are not the only risks facing our Company. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial also may materially adversely affect our business, financial conditions or operating results.

If we are unable to obtain the cure or waiver of defaults under the PNC Credit Facility and Ex-Im Bank Facility, our business may be materially and adversely affected and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease operations.

Historically, we have relied upon a revolving credit facility to provide us with adequate working capital to operate our business. On May 29, 2012, we replaced our Wells Fargo Credit Facility with a new $35 million revolving credit facility provided by PNC Bank, National Association (the “PNC Credit Facility”). The PNC Credit Facility has a maturity date of May 29, 2015. In July 2011, with the support of Wells Fargo's Global Banking Group, ENGlobal and the Export-Import Bank of the United States (“Ex-Im Bank”) entered into a separate $9.5 million letter of credit facility (the “Ex-Im Bank Facility”) to support the Company's Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) project. Under the terms of this agreement, the Company may issue letters of credit to CPC for its performance under the CPC project. The PNC Facility and the Ex-Im Bank Facility require us to maintain compliance with specified financial ratios and satisfy certain financial condition tests. As of June 30, 2012, we were in default with respect to certain of these ratios and financial condition tests and other covenants. As of the date of this filing, we were in active discussions with PNC Bank and Wells Fargo regarding the cure or waiver of the defaults under the PNC Credit Facility and the Ex-Im Bank Facility.

Failure to obtain the cure or waiver of the defaults under the PNC Credit Facility and the Ex-Im Bank Facility could result in all indebtedness outstanding under the PNC Facility and the Ex-Im Bank Facility becoming immediately due and payable. If that should occur, we may not be able to pay all such amounts or borrow sufficient funds to refinance them. Even if new financing were then available, it may not be on terms that are acceptable to us. If we were unable to repay those amounts, the lenders could accelerate the maturity of the debt or proceed against any collateral granted to them to secure such defaulted debt. In such an event, our business will be materially and adversely affected and we may be forced to sharply curtail or cease operations.

As a result of the defaults under the PNC Credit Facility and the Ex-Im Bank Facility described below, additional borrowings under these facilities may be limited or restricted. As of August 15, 2012, unrestricted cash on hand totaled approximately $0.7 million and availability under the PNC Credit Facility totaled approximately $1.3 million, subject to certain restrictions on revolving advances and the requirement to maintain Average Excess Availability of not less than $3.5 million measured monthly. As of August 15, 2012, one $9.1 million letter of credit was outstanding under the Ex-Im Bank Facility and collateralized by $2.3 million in cash. As a result, the Company's ability to pay liabilities as they become due, fund business operations and meet monetary contractual obligations, currently depends primarily on cash flow from operations and the timely collection of outstanding invoices.

Cash and the availability of cash could be materially restricted if:

• Outstanding invoices billed are not collected or are not collected in a timely manner,

• Circumstances prevent the timely internal processing of invoices,

• We lose one or more of our major customers,

• We are unable to win new projects that we can perform on a profitable basis, or

• We are unable to obtain the cure or waiver of existing defaults under the PNC Credit Facility or the Ex-Im Bank Facility.

Tax Expense:

ASC Topic 825, “Income Taxes” requires all available evidence, both positive and negative, be considered to determine whether, based on the weight of that evidence, a valuation allowance is needed. During the current quarter, based upon the Company's recent performance, management determined the realization of deferred tax assets is uncertain as the Company is unable to consider tax planning strategies or projections of future taxable income in its evaluation of the realizability of its deferred tax assets as of June 30, 2012. Under these circumstances, deferred tax assets may only be realized through future reversals of taxable temporary differences and carryback of net operating losses to available carryback periods. We have performed such an analysis and a valuation allowance of approximately $6.2 million has been provided against deferred tax assets as of June 30, 2012.

This basically means they do not think ENG will make enough money to take advantage of the tax benefits from past losses for the periods such credits remain. It seems the losses have exceeded ENG’s future profit expectations.

I think it will be difficult to keep PNC out of their office until resolutions to address defaults are achieved. Will this be the next in a long list of distractions for ENG management?

Goodwill

With the Company’s somewhat bleak outlook and going concern issues did they not consider this as a triggering event for impairment testing?

Conclusion

A two-year slide has seemingly hit the bottom of the hill. It appears the Titanic has hit the iceberg, backed up and hit it again while management was concerned over what to select for dessert. Where has the Chairman and the Board been as we sat in the stands and watched ENG go sailing by?

Maybe the analysts that follow ENG will ask some questions to get full disclosure and transparency for the shareholders. ENG lists the following analysts providing coverage:

Enerecap Partners – Craig Bell

Keybanc – Matt Tucker & Ahird Afzal

Lazard Capital – Will Gabrielski

8/21 0753 EDT KeyBanc Downgrades ENGlobal Corporation (ENG) to Hold; Q2 Miss, Visibility Weak (see Blog Update)

Listen in to the Conference Call tomorrow. Good luck to everyone.

22 July 2012

Late Summer 2012 Stock News And Events


Rev 6.6

I Love The Smell Of Burned Pizza In The Morning - It Smells Like....Inevitability.

  • Edd Pagano has resigned and Mr. Coskey picked up the loose reins. Well folks, that took some time to happen. See new post - ENGlobal CEO Resigns.
  • The stock markets so far seem unimpressed. The price is virtually unaffected near the multi-year lows at ~ $1.45. The volume is up huge with big blocks trading.  Looks like no increase in confidence so far.
  • 8/2 New 5-year low on ENG stock, $1.34 on 71K shares.
  • 8/7 New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $1.26.Closed at $1.28 on 157K shares.
  • 8/9  New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $1.16. Closed at $1.18 on 55K shares.
  • 8/10  New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $1.0302. Closed at $1.12 on 114K shares. Market Cap is below liquidation value.
  • 8/13 New 5-year intraday low and close on ENG stock, $1.01 on 192K shares.
  • 8/13 1630 No announcements currently. I would think that if there were some hopeful news it would be before 2Q earnings. It maybe possible 2Q will be delayed but now we wait and see if it will be tomorrow as announced and what other possible news may accompany it.
  • 8/13 NT 10Q Filed by ENGlobal - Earnings Delay.  PART III--NARRATIVE

    State below in reasonable detail why forms 10-K, 20-F, 11-K, 10-Q, 10-D, N-SAR, or the transition report or portion thereof, could not be filed within the prescribed time period.

    The Registrant’s management deemed additional time is necessary to ensure full, complete and accurate disclosure and to complete the financial statements required for inclusion within the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2012. We believe that the subject quarterly report will be available for filing on or before August 20, 2012.
  • 8/14 New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $0.92. Closed at $0.97 on 123K shares.
  • 8/15 New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $0.80. Closed at $0.87 on 92K shares
  • 8/16 The stock rose today on heavy volume to $0.98. As stated above in the NT 10Q the report filing may occur on or before August 20, 2012.
  • Friday should be an interesting day for the stock. Watch for the SEC filing from now until Monday: http://sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?company=&match=&CIK=eng&filenum=&State=&Country=&SIC=&owner=exclude&Find=Find+Companies&action=getcompany
  • Friday 8/17 The PR came out and made proper reference to the last set report date of 8/14 with the delayed date set on 8/20 "After Market Close". The Conference Call will be held the next day 8/21 at 1100 EDT. Should be interesting. Maybe some more PR issued then also.
  • 8/21 New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $0.68. Closed at $0.79 on 1.2M shares.
  • 8/22 New 5-year low close of .77 on 419K shares.
  • 8/27 New 5-year low close of .73 on 104K shares.
  • 8/31 New 5-year low close of .70 on 56K shares.
  • 9/7 New 5-year intraday low on ENG stock, $0.65. New 5-year close at $0.69 on 246K shares. 
  • HOUSTON, Aug. 1, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Express Energy Services, LLC (EES) today announces that John R. Beall has joined as Chief Financial Officer, effective July 5, 2012. Mr. Beall replaces Jim Davis, who is retiring from EES.  See "Appointments And Moves" for more information.
8/21 0753 EDT KeyBanc Downgrades ENGlobal Corporation (ENG) to Hold; Q2 Miss, Visibility Weak KeyBanc downgraded ENGlobal Corporation (NASDAQ: ENG) from Buy to Hold.

Analyst, Matt Tucker, said, "We are downgrading ENGlobal following its weaker-than-expected 2Q12 results, which have dampened our near to medium-term earnings outlook and have put the firm in violation of covenants under its new credit facility, generating some concerns around ENG's near-term liquidity. This follows several quarters of disappointing performance from ENG and adds to a series of events that have contributed to the uncertainty around the firm's direction, including recent credit issues that we believe impacted competitiveness in 1H12 (at least temporarily), the abrupt June 13 departure of its CFO (still without full-time replacement), and the unexpected August 1 departure of two-year CEO Edd Pagano, who was replaced by co-founder, Chairman and former CEO Bill Coskey."

 "...the unexpected August 1 departure of two-year CEO Edd Pagano" Don't read much, huh Matt?

KeyBanc lowers FY13 EPS estimate from $0.38 to $0.00.

Are you kidding me? What do you think they believe what conditions should constitute a Sell rating?

Opinion 8/10

Having thought about the situation ENGlobal is in for some time I think the most likely outcome and smart transition for ENGlobal is a merger/buyout of some type. Why? It is the best outcome for everyone. If the BOD lets this company go bankrupt what risk does that pose for them given the total loss for investors (the stock would be cancelled) and catastrophic blow to thousands of employees? This would be the poster child for reckless management for sure and lawyers to the SEC would agree.

To avoid all this, a merger/buyout is the best option. Most certainly they have been approached and received offers. Who would buy? A good question, however, ENG is not without value, there are assets, AR, contracts, backlog and loyal employees. I think large companies may find something imbedded within ENG that would interest them and there are a lot of large companies. Smaller local companies like Burrow Global or RDS are the major local players. BG would be eliminated purely on their competent, quick gentleman’s success story and prehistory. That leaves also successful and larger RDS along with a multitude of even larger players and with possible capitol investor groups.

The real problem I think happening within ENGlobal is cash and loss of personnel. Not paying vendors is problematic and costs trust and time. Not paying employees – well, they walk and this erodes ability to make money. Employees are the real long-term value in a company. Another scenario threat would have desperate people doing desperate things and not operating ethically with the highest integrity, without exception.  Managing in the face of crisis requires courage from the leadership.  Does ENG management, and the BOD, have it? Time for them to demonstrate such virtues may have gone by or at best is running out quickly.

I think there is a real race going on now to hold things together by the clock ticking with PNC using their power in some fashion, keeping employees paid, and getting a deal done with a company or capitol group to transition the company.  When may this be announced? This could occur Friday 8/10 after the close until Tuesday; before the 2Q announcement. That surely would render bad news moot by degree or level of transition. If this does not happen expect more stock volatility and anxiety from uncertainty - people do not do well with uncertainty, especially when they have a great deal at stake.

The prospect of ENGlobal continuing otherwise is not likely unless downsizing to core profitable services occurs. Additionally, a change in management style to one that is "hands-on" and active in a recession would be necessary. It is a “survival of the fittest” business environment.


        ENGlobal SEC Filing 8/7/2012

        Item 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

        On August 3, 2012, Michael G. Bryant advised the Registrant of his resignation as Executive Vice President – Field Solutions for personal reasons effective immediately.  Mr. Bryant has served as Executive Vice President of Field Solutions since November 2011.  David Sinclair will replace Mr. Bryant.

        David Sinclair, 54, has served as the Registrant’s Senior Vice President of its Field Solutions segment in November 2011.  From 2001 to November 2011, he served as the Vice President of Land in the Field Solutions segment for the Registrant and a predecessor company.  Mr. Sinclair brings over 30 years of experience in both domestic and international assignments for the pipeline industry. Prior to joining the Registrant, he spent 16 years at Enron as the Director of Right of Way and as an independent land consultant.  He is presently a Trustee and former President of the Right of Way International Education Foundation, an IRWA course facilitator, Past Chairman of the IRWA Pipeline Committee, Past President of IRWA Chapter 8, and a Past Chairman of the Southern Gas Association’s (SGA) Right of Way Roundtable. Mr. Sinclair holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from Texas Tech University.

        Opinion

        "Another one bites the dust"  Great as a song - bad as status quo for any company. This was revealed earlier on this website in an earlier comment on ENGlobal CEO Resigns.

        David Sinclair who will take over the duties brings good experience to the job. Do not make the mistake of thinking that his working for Enron is a detriment, it isn't, it was good professional experience added to his career. I have had lunch with David in the past and have spoken with him several times at ENGlobal. I mentioned him within the past Annual Meeting posts that I made on the message boards. He is rock solid and a good man for the job.

        2Q 2012 Predictions And "What Ifs"

        I have been getting a lot of questions for an opinion on ENGlobal’s forthcoming 2Q financial results. This is a good opportunity to examine the Profit or No Profit scenarios and the “What If” permutations.

        What if ENGlobal makes a Profit?

        That could mean more “Pagano” for everyone, extra cheese and free delivery...enjoy.

        How many of you think ENGlobal will make a profit? I don’t!  Please leave comments and reasons to why you think they will make a profit.  That’s it for this section.

        What if ENGlobal makes No Profit?

        I want to say outright I hope ENG makes some clean profit.  However, I do not think ENG will make a profit based on their past results, especially 1Q.  As illustrated in previous postings, reported financial results, conference call comments and SEC filings the numbers looked to be potentially embellished in 1Q for reasons I will leave up to readers.  Despite numbers that do not meet the smell test the 1Q results were still a loss. With just basic logic I think continuing operations (the true operational value without affect of questionable numbers) will be a severe loss.  Without further help from these questionable numbers or errors 2Q may be a real horror show.  If you have followed ENG you know traditionally 2Q has been one of the strongest financial reporting periods for the company.

        At this stage in the game, 3+ years of losses, how do you think investors, employees and public opinion will think of the CEO and BOD?  The factors of fiduciary responsibility, competence, denial and ego have reached epic proportions and are in question.

        I see several scenarios that could result from another “no profit” quarter…

        First, if ENG is having difficulty paying bills while running out of money, the bank, PNC, will know this with the continuous reporting requirements ENG has to make to them.  The continuous reporting was done so PNC could simply monitor and control their investment (see the Credit Facility post) to hopefully prevent losses and increased investment risk. Remember the terms of the CF make current operations a near Chapter 13, Receivership, condition.  If PNC pulls the plug, I think ENG will partially or wholly cease to function while assets are sold to satisfy the CF. There was a clear equal statement of this featured in a previous post and SEC filing. At this point vendors, creditors and clients are dealing with the bank.  Chapter 11 may follow.

        Second, ENG goes direct to Chapter 11.  No one at ENG takes responsibility and blames others for the “sudden” collapse. After a few weeks the determination will be that this blog caused it.

        And a third possibility is that the BOD sees bad results or bank action coming and negotiates to sell part of or all of ENG to raise cash and prevent total loss.  At this time the BOD and upper management have to know the results for April and May, and with only 14 working days remaining until the 2Q report is filed and they should have an idea what it looks like for the last 90 days.  Even if they are successful in negotiating a sale there won’t be much saved this late in the decision game.  A White Knight scenario would seemingly be preposterous given the personality of the company unless it was preplanned.

        I would say realistically you might see class action lawsuits or government investigations take place based on the strange numbers and calculations reported in past news releases, conference calls and SEC filings.  The stock may soon be below acceptable NASDAQ levels and when the time limit is reached (30 days) ENG will be notified, a SEC filing made and ENG will file for an extension to remain on the NASDAQ under probation status.  If they rise above $1 within the time requirement, they stay, if not – it will be to the small penny stock boards or back to the AMEX.

        Other "What Ifs"…

        What if DSO increases to 85 days?  First, that could depend on how it is calculated for 2Q.  It could also mean the struggle with the “order to cash process” of not getting bills out to clients and not collecting them in a timely manner continues.  Maybe operations should take over that function!

        What if vendors and subcontractors are not getting paid?  Not paying vendors and sub-contractors could mean projects, shipments and work schedules may suffer, and that new government contract may be in jeopardy as well as that large international project.  These types of issues could have an impact on getting work completed, thus reducing revenues.

        What if billable man-hours decline?  How can billable man-hours not decline when it appears the loss of management and staff to competitors continues?  Maybe bonuses could be paid to management to keep them around! Wouldn’t that be ironic! Have you heard or read about that recently, companies (our government/banks) not making money, not paying debts, and yet paying out bonuses?

        What if manpower utilization increases? That could mean corporate and operational overhead staffing levels have been scaled back to coincide with a decline in manpower or it could mean billable man-hours have actually increased.  Either scenario would be good news. A combination of the two would be GREAT news.

        What if the BOD suddenly awakened to the fact ENG may be in trouble and stepped-up with an action plan calling for one or all of the following:
        ·    New management;
        ·    A renewed emphasis on a “core” business;
        ·    The divestiture of “non-core” business operations for cash to allow for acquisitions or expansion supporting its “core” business;
        ·    A reduction, reorganization and centralization of overhead services to fit a new model;
        ·    Recognition that “customers” and “cash” are king;
        ·    Another reverse merger;
        ·    An equity partner;
        ·    A follow-on stock offering of 10,000,000 shares at $3.50 a share to reduce debt and provide working capital (yes this would dilute earnings, but WHAT earnings?); or
        ·     A 7-cent per share dividend beginning January 1st?

        Conclusion

        What if you were in charge for a day, what solutions or changes would you make?
        It won’t be long until the earnings news will be out. Given the critical nature of what we have seen the sensible logic dictates the existing operational condition and same management practices cannot continue much longer. The credit facility and Bank simply will not let it or tolerate it, respectively. Some big event will happen and it will happen soon. There are a lot of great people working for ENGlobal, I wish you the best. Good luck to everyone.

        Comments are welcome.



        07 June 2012

        ENGlobal Corporation - DSO Calculation Discrepancy

        Rev. 1.2

        *Beep* Houston We Have A Problem

        This posting will cover a narrow scope issue attempting to verify the Company’s reported DSO calculations. All calculations use information included in the 2011 10K (4Q 2011) and 1Q 2012 10Q. There will also be a discussion of DSO theory and how companies can modify their own formula to achieve best practice. I addressed Days Selling Outstanding in earlier posts.

        As you know DSO is an important tool in measuring liquidity and has become a quick metric whereby investors and readers of financial data judge a company’s cash flow.  Normally a DSO trend downward indicates a positive cash flow and vise versa a trend upward indicates a negative cash impact for the period being reported. Why is it an important parameter? The lower the DSO the less you have to borrow from the Credit Facility and pay the associated costs. If you look at most definitions for calculating DSO the formula will be:
        “Accounts Receivable / Average daily sales = DSO”

        Discussion and Best Practice Using Your DSO

        Only including “Billed Revenue” in the Accounts Receivable (“AR”) numerator would seemingly only measure the effectiveness of a company’s collections process. If you were to also include “Unbilled Revenue” in the numerator and the DSO came out significantly higher then you may need to look at your “order-to-cash” process which would include generating invoices quicker after billable work perform is performed.  A company’s “Unbilled Revenue” includes cost plus billings and/or lump sum or fixed price billings. Unbilled lump sum/fixed price revenue is shown on the Balance Sheet as “cost-in-excess of billings” (“CIEB”). Timing can be an issue for “Unbilled Revenue” for Companies where cost plus charges billing cycles vary month-to-month due to a need to coordinate with something like bi-weekly pay periods. Getting those invoices processed prior to month end and thus included in AR may not be achievable due to timing.  Being late in billings for one day could mean current work would not get included in AR.  This further supports including these unbilled revenue in our numerator. Same logic could support including CIEB as this is earned revenue on fixed-price or lump-sum projects yet to be billed due to timing related to performance or contract terms, each of which should be in control of the company by meeting specific project deliverables or by negotiating more advantageous billing milestones.

        What about “allowance for doubtful account” reserves, should they be added back? One could argue that bad debts are also controllable and should be included in the numerator and taking AR as a net figure. Lowering AR in this manner may distort DSO levels. Bad debts, or allowance levels, should also be in control of management be it though good credit practices, timely collections and/or performance issues which may lead to client refusals to pay. Adding back the allowance may help keep management accountable for these reserves.

        And then there are “billings-in-excess of costs” which are shown as a liability on the Balance Sheet. That figure includes billings to customers which are not included in revenue because by contract a portion of the revenue included on the billing side has yet to be earned but that same contract allows for pre-billings to help match labor, material and equipment cash flow impacts. For cash flow, BIEC is a positive feature and can be controlled by management though contract negotiations and timely billing cycles.  To encourage such management practice and behavior why not give credit against the other items in the numerator for these excess charges? 

        Confusing you say! Yes, and that’s the point. There is not one standard DOS formula that fits all and may not be a measurement of what each company is attempting to better manage. What should be standard though is that the same DOS formula is used period over period and that the DSO formula needs to be broadly understood and meaningful. Each company should design their own DSO method, which hopefully will fit their industry and give investors a quick benchmark to gauge the company’s success in managing liquidity and cash flow. 

        Test your skills and try to calculate ENGlobal’s DSO levels comparing the financial results as of December 31, 2011 to their results as of March 31, 2012.  Just a hint, you will have to go back to the Form 10K for 2011 to get total revenue for the 4th quarter of last year.


        DSO
        1Q 2012
        4Q 2011

        1
        Revenues
           75,440
            76,097

        2
        avg days sales
                838
                 846

        3
        DSO Calculated
            78
            69


        DSO Reported
            61
            70







        Balance Sheet
        1Q 2012
        4Q 2011

        4
        Trade AR, net
         53,139
          54,020

        4
        Add-back Allowance
           1,713
            1,792

        4
        Cost in excess
         12,573
            6,790

        4
        Note receivable
                  -
                   -

        4
        Billings in excess
          (2,236)
          (4,421)

        5
              Totals
          65,189
          58,181












        Trade AR, net
         53,139
          54,020


        Allowance for doubtful acct
           1,713
            1,792


        Cost in excess
         12,573
            6,790


        Note receivable
              514
               514


        Cost in excess
           2,236
            4,421



        Notes to line items: 1. From forms 1Q 2012 and 10K 201; 2. Revenues divided by 90 days; 3. Item 5 divided by Item 2 avg days sales; 4. From forms 1Q 2012.


        Conclusions

        Let’s put these numbers into perspective. Read this statement taken from 2012 Form 10Q for period ended March 31, 2012, page 17:

        “The Company manages its billing and client collection processes to reduce days sales outstanding (DSO) to the extent practicable. We believe that our allowance for bad debt is adequate to cover any potential non-payment by our customers. The Company's DSO decreased to 61 days at March 31, 2012, from 63 days at March 31, 2011, and 70 days at December 31, 2011. Both decreases in the number of days of sales outstanding were primarily attributable to efforts to collect accounts receivable from clients whose payment practices are slower or whose payment terms are longer compared to the Company’s average payment terms. ENGlobal continues to manage its billing and client collection processes toward reducing days of sales outstanding to the extent practicable.”

        I think by now you can see the discrepancies. First, and not the big issue is the DSO for 4Q 2011 actually looks 1 day better than reported. This is not such a big deal but a positive difference nevertheless.

        I believe you understand that DSO management makes incremental changes over time with good accounting management. What really catches the eye is why DSO was proudly reported coming down from 70 days to 61 days! Looking at the numbers included in recent SEC filings and making same application formula calculations shows this 61 days DSO is a grossly false number, or the Company has some secret DSO formula applied inconsistently over the two periods. Moreover, DSO has seemingly actually deteriorated, increasing by 8 days to a 78-day level as opposed to going down by 9 days!

        I’d like to know what happened, wouldn’t you? Why was 61 days DSO reported when it is actually closer to 78 days? If you just used net AR straight from the March 31, 2012 Balance Sheet as your numerator you get 63 days DSO ($53,139 mil / $838k). Where are the auditing backup procedures to catch “mistakes” like this? There are many things all companies need, publicly traded or not; a fundamental element is the need to be trusted. Two following imperative traits a publicly traded company needs are clean consistent numbers and transparency. We have been seeing more and more numbers that do not pass the smell test as illustrated in recent posts. When is management going to be held accountable? 

        Good luck to everyone.

        Comments are welcome.